A16Z // TOP 100 GEN-AI CONSUMER APPS — 7TH EDITION
APEX
THE POWER LAW OF CONSUMER AI
Attention concentrates. Spend concentrates harder. This is a single-file autopsy of who actually pays for consumer AI — and how violently the distribution skews.
SCN.01 // SPEND CONCENTRATION
THE MONOLITH
One percent of spenders. One fifth of the money. The median user is a rounding error at the base of the column.
SCN.02 // MERCHANT SPEND GEOGRAPHY
THE STATE DIVIDE
OpenAI owns the map — 47 of 51 jurisdictions. Anthropic holds four enclaves where spend density runs highest.
Each tile is one U.S. state or district, positioned by approximate geography. Merchant spend leadership determines its classification.
MERCHANT SPEND LEADER BY U.S. STATE — GEOGRAPHIC CARTOGRAM, NOT TO SCALE.
SCN.03 // PREMIUM TIER CONVERSION
THE TIER PRISM
Every model has subscribers. Almost none convert them to $100+/mo. Claude converts 6.6× more of its base than ChatGPT.
CONVERSION INEQUALITY — CLAUDE MAX PULLS 6.6× CHATGPT PRO · 5.6× GOOGLE ULTRA
SCN.04 // INSTINCT — IMESSAGE AGENT
AGENT VELOCITY
Agents don't browse. They transact — inside a chat window, at a run-rate the storefront era never reached.
SCN.05 // WHERE THE BUILDS GO
LAUNCH DIVERGENCE
Claude ships for work. Gemini ships for the feed. Same industry — opposite gravity.
SAME INDUSTRY — OPPOSITE GRAVITY